Did the
election of Donald Trump have an immediate effect on trust in the US government
in Latin America? Leveraging the timing of the field implementation of the 2016
wave of the AmericasBarometer in five Latin American countries, we estimate the
effect of the 2016 presidential election on respondents’ attitudes using a
regression discontinuity design in time. We find that the election of Trump
substantively decreased respondents’ trust in the US government.
Bios:
Regina Bateson is an assistant professor in the Graduate School of
Public and International Affairs at the University of Ottawa. Michael Weintraub
is an associate professor in the Escuela de Gobierno Alberto Lleras Camargo at
the Universidad de los Andes in Bogotá, Colombia.
Giancarlo Visconti is an
Assistant Professor of Political Science at Purdue University and a
Core Faculty in the Advanced Methods Cluster (AMAP). He received his Ph.D.
from Columbia University in 2018. Giancarlo studies comparative
political behavior and the political economy of developing countries, with a
regional focus on Latin America. His research interests include elections,
crime, economic shocks, migration, and local politics.